Caravan Magazine

A journal of politics and culture

Politics

How Foreign Leaders Should Prepare for a Second Trump Term

As Donald Trump edges closer to a potential return to the White House, foreign leaders—especially those on the center-left—are bracing for the political and diplomatic turbulence his presidency could unleash. Trade wars, erratic exchanges, and a recalibrated global order are all likely outcomes. However, a contentious relationship with Trump isn’t inevitable.

Former South Korean President Moon Jae-in offers a unique blueprint for navigating Trump’s often unpredictable style. A reserved human rights advocate, Moon managed to forge a collaborative relationship with Trump, even brokering historic engagements between the U.S. and North Korea. Moon reflects on his approach in his recent memoir, offering valuable insights for foreign leaders facing the prospect of another Trump presidency.

1. Acknowledge the Transactional Nature of Trump’s Diplomacy

Moon understood that Trump’s blunt, deal-driven diplomacy could actually be easier to navigate than subtler, more opaque approaches. “Some say he is rude and aggressive, but I liked him because he was honest,” Moon wrote. Trump was explicit about his demands, making negotiations straightforward, even if occasionally tense.

This directness, Moon argues, was often less hypocritical than the lofty rhetoric of some Western nations, which also prioritized self-interest when crises like COVID-19 struck. “Vaccines became exclusive to wealthy countries, creating a barbaric situation where some nations had none,” Moon noted.

2. Leverage Trump’s Ego

Trump’s desire to secure his legacy and surpass his predecessors provided an opportunity for Moon to influence key decisions. Moon appealed to Trump’s competitive nature by suggesting that successful denuclearization talks with North Korea would secure him a Nobel Peace Prize—a prospect Trump found irresistible.

This approach led to historic negotiations, including Trump becoming the first sitting U.S. president to meet a North Korean leader, even if the talks ultimately stalled.

3. Push Back with Confidence

Despite Trump’s reputation as a domineering negotiator, Moon advises foreign leaders not to shy away from standing firm. “When it came to defense cost-sharing, Trump’s requests were excessive, but that didn’t cause difficulties in our relationship,” Moon recalled.

Moon’s confident retorts—like pointing out that LG TVs in Trump’s home were made in Texas—helped maintain balance in discussions. His insistence on lifting outdated missile restrictions paid off, achieving a goal that previous South Korean administrations had failed to accomplish.

4. Appeal to American Patriotism

Trump’s respect for military history and national pride was a key entry point for building rapport. During his first U.S. visit, Moon paid homage to American soldiers by visiting the National Museum of the Marine Corps and connecting the Korean War’s Chosin Reservoir campaign to his own family’s story.

Moon’s heartfelt speech resonated with Trump and the U.S. military, fostering goodwill before their official meeting. Trump praised the speech and even gave Moon a rare personal tour of the White House residence, a gesture that underscored the success of this approach.

5. Utilize Shared Connections

Even small personal touches can make a difference. When Moon’s policy chief mentioned he was a graduate of Wharton, Trump immediately warmed to the delegation. The alumni connection sparked camaraderie, showcasing how such details can strengthen personal ties.

Lessons for Global Leaders

Moon’s memoir reveals a pragmatic approach to managing Trump’s unconventional style. By embracing directness, appealing to his ego, and leveraging patriotism, Moon achieved diplomatic milestones while protecting South Korea’s national interests.

For foreign leaders preparing for a potential second Trump term, Moon’s experiences offer a roadmap for navigating what may otherwise seem like an unpredictable and challenging relationship.

LEAVE A RESPONSE

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *